【kingexit】Hot hand? 走运

Reader question:

Please explain this sentence，particularly ' hot hand of a basketball player ' : she had the " hot hand " of a basketball player

我的comments :

She、whoever it is、has just had a string of success doing something and having ' the hot hand of a basketball player ' is how she explair

It's like saying，whatever she did she was successful，As if she were a basketball player who just cannot miss no matter how they shoot the baot

In basketball and in other sports，the ' hot hand ' refers to the situation in which a player seemingly has，so to speak，the MIDAS

Midas touch，of course，refers to the legend of king MIDAS who briefly has the power to turn anything and everything he touches into gold。

In our discussion，the player who has the hot hand of a basketball player seems to have that kind of power，the power that allows them to succeed

if You ' ve played the game of poker You probably will have experienced this phenomenon : for an hour or so，You seem to get all the good cards ANNs

On the other hand，if you ' ve played a lot of poker or mahjong but never experienced the hot hand，well，poor you。

Hard luck、but instead of ruing your hard luck、however、please rest assured that those who do have the hot hand have it only temporarily

Anyway，I hope this is sufficient consolation .

Soon enough，you see，they all will have cold spells such as you seem to be having all the time。

Again，poor you .

enough condolences . here are media examples of ' hot hand ' :

1.Ben MC adoo has shown a willingness to gamble in his first season as the giants coach，And new York is riding his hot hand for a run at their first post

Eli manning threw his third touchdown pass of the game on a fourth-down，fourth-quarter roll of the dice by MC adoo，And the giants beat the

we like the position we ' re in . we ' ve just got to keep going . we can ' t slow down，' said manning，Who was 28 of 44 for 240 yards and twowe can ' t relax for a second . every game we ' ve been playing is tight . I '

manning threw scoring passes of 10 yards a piece to rookie j errell ADAMS And odell Beckham in the first half，And a game-winning 3-yarder to rooking

-manning throws 3 TDS as gambling giants beat bengals、AP和November 15，2016 .

2.sorry warriors' fans，there will be no 16-0。put the champagne on ice for at least three more days as the Cleveland Cavaliers ws

Lebron James was unstoppable again，getting an NBA finals ' record ninth triple-double，Surpassing magic Johnson . the king finison one of the best we ' ve seen in NBA finals ' history . they were flawless from 3-poins Making the extra pass to find the open shooter and setting

On the other bench，Kevin durant was spectacular again in search of his first ever NBA championship . his teammates，on the other hand，did.in the first quarter and it set the tone for the rest of the way.Ished the game with 35 points，four rebounds and four assists，But didn ' t have a great shooting night . Stephen curry has been great so far in

-Cavaliers hold off the warriors to force a game 5、fan、June 10和2017 .

3.it ' s Friday . we ' ve had a big run in the market . weekends have been a crap shoot，And we ' reseeing consistent selling this morning . it ' s

although I haven ' t put out a ton of earnings plays this season，But with seven pre-earnings and two-post earnings trades，Only one

does that mean you should Toss aside everything else and consider my thoughts more now than ever before？

No. Heck no！

do not fall into the trap of the hot-hand fallacy。

we hear about this a lot in sports . give the ball to the guy with the hot hand . this describes the cognitive belief that a person experiencing a ssp Sful out

it ' s simply not true . while confidence is a huge driving factor in trading and can help make you better，it will be by a few basis points，Small

when you hear a phrase like ' best year ever，' ' best run ever，' ' this has never happened to me before，' or something along

I know my streak is going to come to an end，likely a crashing halt，And that will put me closer to historical averages in terms of success vs . fs

I realize it may be odd to slap a big red sign flashing the word warning on your forehead，But it ' s also reality . you never want to tell people to conneple

At some point in the near future，I will fall victim to the will of the market，Its sirens call of reversion to the mean . I know it . you should knowafter all，if you can ' t become self-aware as a tratras

-do not fall into the trap of the hot-hand fallacy、by Timothy Collins、real money.com和February 7，2020 .

这篇文章只是代表作者本人的观点，与本网络立场无关。

欢迎大家讨论学术问题，尊重他人，禁止人身攻击和发布一切违反国家现行法律法规的内容。

About the author:

Zhang Xin is Trainer at c. He has been with China Daily since 1988, when he graduated from Beijing Foreign Studies University. Write him at: zhangxin@c, or raise a question for potential use in a future column.

（作者：张欣 编辑：丹妮）

来源：中国日报网